DOI: http://doi.org/10.15350/2409-7616.2020.4.48

Vadim O. Evseev –Doctor of economic sciences, professor Faculties politics and sociology, Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Moscow,  Russian Federation, E-mail: manrus@mail.ru

Abstract. The main issue of the research is the analysis of the level of tension between the participants of integration processes. Participants in integration processes, according to the theory of complex systems, have a set of characteristics that reflect their internal state: indifference, nihilism, egoism, isolationism, etc., on the basis of which the level of tension is calculated. It should be noted that internal characteristics are institutionally and terminologically fixed in the official literature. The aim of the presented work was to develop formalized relationships between indicators describing the political process and the selected set of internal characteristics. Results. A simulation model was built that includes nine source / input data and seven output data. By setting various options for a multi-vector policy, the number of countries to join or detach, you can immediately see the dynamics of changes in the level of tension in integration relations. The resulting material included graphs, tables, and text information. Conclusions: it Should be noted that to identify dependencies, data from many studies were used that were not previously included in the necessary system of indicators. The identified dependencies, using regression and correlation analysis, are the author’s development for the General type of relationships of complex systems, which confirmed the validity of the conceptual approach. On the other hand, it is necessary to conduct specialized case studies using the semantics of integration processes and semantics that reflect the internal state of countries. This requires its own method of research and data processing.

Keywords: integration processes, integration isolationism, integration nihilism, modeling, assessment of the level of integration tension.

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For citation:

Evseev V.O. Assessment of the level of tension in integration relations. CITISE, 2020, no. 4, pp.552-559. DOI:http://doi.org/10.15350/2409-7616.2020.4.48