UDC 330.131.7

DOI: http://doi.org/10.15350/2409-7616.2023.2.33

Evseev V.O.¹ (Moscow, Russian Federation) – manrus@mail.ru

¹Plekhanov Russian University of Economics

Abstract. Representation of the problem. The article formulates a hypothesis related to the possibility of using the data of sociological research as input information in the generally accepted methodology for assessing and calculating country risks. The methodology for assessing country risks is based on four main semantic divisions/groups related to organization, management, relationships and consequences, each section/group consists of a set of sub-concepts. There is also an estimated risk scale: from extreme risk to low risk. Methodology. On the basis of Excel, an analytical platform was developed for processing the results of the conducted sociological research. For the practical implementation of the hypothesis, empirical studies were selected on the project “Socio-political risks of sustainable development of Russian society in the context of crisis and sanctions”, conducted as part of the sociological monitoring “How are you living, Russia?” conducted by ISPI RAS with a sample of more than 1,900 people. The first group – “organization in the public system”, included answers to the following question “Respondents’ opinion on the fulfillment by the state of its basic duties to society”. The second group – “event management”, includes a section with institutions that form and manage events – “Dynamics of respondents’ attitudes to public structures and institutions of power”. The third group, “the state of relations”, included two sections from a sociological study: The dynamics of respondents’ attitude to the course of ongoing economic reforms; The respondents’ attitude to the political system of society. In the fourth group – “possible consequences”. two sections from the sociological research were included: 1. Dynamics of respondents’ anxiety; 2. Dynamics of citizens’ support for various forms of protection of their interests. Results. According to the developed and implemented algorithm, indicators of the electoral risks of perception of the country’s development were obtained, which showed an adequate change in its comparative analysis with the index of socio-political stability developed in the ISPI RAS.

Keywords: risks, assessment methodology, sociological research, risk criteria, national enterprises, Excel.

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For citation: Evseev V.O. Electoral risks of perception of the country’s development. CITISE, 2023, no. 2, pp. 382-391. DOI: http://doi.org/10.15350/2409-7616.2023.2.33