Mabiala G., Golubova T.N., Makhkamova Z.R.
THE ESTIMATION OF ECONOMIC LOSS FROM CHILDREN TUBERCULOSIS IN THE REPUBLIC OF CRIMEA
Mabiala G.1 (Simferopol, Russian Federation) – E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org, Golubova T.N.1 (Simferopol, Russian Federation) – E-mail: email@example.com, Makhkamova Z.R.1 (Simferopol, Russian Federation) – E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
1V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University
Abstract. In this article, a systematic analysis of the dynamics of detection, prevalence and impact of all forms children tuberculosis localizations is carried out. The general trends of indicators reflecting the deterioration of children’s health due to tuberculosis are considered. It has been proven that the consequences of illness, disability and temporary disability have an economic aspect. At the same time, opinions were formulated that a significant part of public funds is used to prevent and eliminate these consequences through partial financing under articles of the central and local budgets. Therefore, the realization of objective study of the interaction between the children health and the regional economy, a computational and logical approach to assessing economic loss is required, in connection with real changes in the incidence of children tuberculosis, mortality, disability, temporary disability, etc. A sequential method of Excel-parametric calculations, a computer Excel-model approach for calculating, extrapolating and forecasting economic damage resulting from the incidence of tuberculosis in children are proposed. The amount of economic damage was calculated, by years, and the total cost of verifying the diagnosis of tuberculosis, treatment and monitoring of its effectiveness in the Crimean children was found. The statistical and mathematical analysis substantiated the trends of the main indicators of the incidence of tuberculosis in children. The forecast of economic damage from tuberculosis in children in Crimea has been substantiated.
Keywords: childhood TB, childhood TB incidence, childhood TB prevalence, economic damage, cost of medical care, temporary disability benefit, lost taxes, budget expenses, Republic of Crimea.
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